Perspective for the decisions ahead.
Daily analysis, weekly perspectives and market developments. Explore a considered view of the financial markets.
Analysis & archive
RFM research, organized by type and date.
Gold Weekly Outlook October 12–16, 2026
Executive Summary Gold experienced strong and volatile price movements over the past week, trading within an approximate range of 4,067–4,207. Despite repeated attempts to regain bullish momentum, the price struggled to break through key resistance levels and ended the week near 4,194. At present, the 4,095–4,110 zone remains the key support area that buyers need to defend to maintain the short-term bullish correction. On the upside, 4,209–4,225 represents the first important resistance zone, while 4,242–4,256 remains a significant technical barrier. A break above this zone is necessary to strengthen the prospects of an extended bullish correction toward higher levels.
Oct 4, 2026GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOK 05/10/2026 – 09/10/2026
Executive Summary: Gold experienced a strong and volatile corrective move during the previous week, with price moving within a range of approximately 4120–4225. Buyers made repeated attempts to push higher; however, price failed to clearly break above the 4225 area and returned to settle near the lower levels. Currently, the 4105–4120 area remains the key support zone that buyers need to defend in order to maintain the short-term bullish correction. On the other side, the 4174–4182 area represents the first important resistance, while the 4201–4220 area remains the key resistance zone that will determine whether Gold can continue higher or whether selling pressure will return.
Sep 27, 2026Gold Weekly Outlook 28/09/2026 – 02/10/2026
Executive Summary: Gold experienced a clear consolidation phase during the previous week, with prices trading between approximately 4245 and 4382, amid continued uncertainty between selling pressure and buyers' attempts to keep prices above key support areas. Despite buyers' attempts to regain momentum, gold failed to break through major resistance levels or decisively break below key support areas, keeping prices within a consolidation range as the market awaits confirmation of its next direction. The 4265–4245 area remains one of the most important zones to monitor this week. Holding above this area would support the continuation of the bullish correction, while a clear break and close below it could bring selling pressure back into the market and open the way toward lower levels. On the upside, 4340–4365 represents the first important test for buyers, followed by 4385–4404 as a key resistance area that could determine gold's ability to extend its upward movement.
Sep 20, 2026Gold Weekly Outlook 21-25 September
Executive Summary: Gold experienced relatively wide and volatile price action during the previous week, trading between approximately 4235 and 4400, amid continued uncertainty between selling pressure and buyers’ attempts to keep prices above key support areas. Although gold managed to recover part of its losses and return to trade near 4380, the current price action still appears to be a short-term bullish correction within a broader medium-term bearish structure. The 4285–4300 area remains one of the key zones to monitor this week. Holding above this area would support the continuation of the bullish correction, while a clear break and close below it could bring selling pressure back into the market and open the way toward lower levels. On the upside, 4390–4415 represents the first important test for buyers, followed by 4434–4450, which remains a key resistance area that could determine whether gold can extend its upward movement.
Market news & economic calendar
Follow market headlines and scheduled releases through Forex Factory, alongside RFM’s own published analysis.
Forex Factory
The news and events moving markets. Direct from the source.
Links open Forex Factory in a new tab. Check the timezone shown on its calendar; external content may be in English.
Questions about RFM research?
Contact the team for questions about published analysis. Trading signals remain planned.